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ATARMAxxing · SACE Economics revision notes

Correlation, causation and interpreting R and R-squared

Reading economic data
Stage 2 · Data analysis

What this note covers

  1. Direction first: positive and negative relationships
  2. Identifying dependent and independent variables
  3. Correlation is not causation
  4. Interpreting R without calculating it
  5. Interpreting R-squared as strength of relationship
  6. Worked example: rainfall and crop revenue in a fictional region
  7. How this topic is examined and what earns full marks

7 sections · 11 key terms & formulas · 6 common mistakes

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SACE Economics · revision note 4 of 20